And the Problem Is...?

The problem is DEBT!

The government, corporations, and families are in hock up to their eyeballs. It’s no wonder MarketWatch says: “When compared with the size of the economy, U.S. debt levels are off the charts.”

While most people are looking optimistically at the recent surge in the Dow and S&P, these markets don’t paint a realistic picture. There are three markets that do, and all of them are flashing red:

Bonds: Yields on U.S. Treasuries have plummeted to historic lows. The 30-year bond is yielding 4.7%, which is well below long-term averages. A drop of this magnitude is a strong signal of tough times ahead, making the stock market’s sunny vision of a swift economic recovery hard to believe.

The Dollar: Years of loose money and budget excesses have given the dollar a rough ride on world markets. Since 2007, the dollar has  weakened dramatically – reaching an all-time low against the euro and a 31-year low against the Canadian dollar.

Gold: The same policies that are sinking the dollar have pushed gold up more than 350% in the last eight years. The Washington Times sums it up this way: “Dollar slides, investors hedge, gold soars”

Historically, during times of economic turmoil, people turn to the safety of gold. Why? Because gold holds its value. It is an ideal hedge against the wealth-stealing forces of inflation.

Gold has long been a traditional hedge against inflation, and demand for gold tends to pick up when inflation does.
-CBC News

But whether you’re a new investor to gold or a seasoned pro, you may be feeling confused by all of the noise coming from the media.

On the one hand, we have Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke saying the recession is over… Goldman Sachs report corporate earnings are up… MarketWatch says, “U.S. stocks hit new closing highs for year”… and Google “sees green shoots of U.S. recovery.”

But then The Wall Street Journal reports consumer bankruptcies soared 41% from September, 2008 and The Financial Times says unemployment has risen to a 26-year high of 9.8% “U.S. mortgage delinquencies set record,” according to Reuters… The Independent reports on a beaten-down dollar, whose reserve currency status is under global attack… the Federal Reserve’s Supervisory Capital Assessment Program shows top U.S. banks could lose $599 billion in two years… and The Globe and Mail asks, “Green shoots or yellow weeds?”

So, who’s right?.

The truth is, if the economy truly was recovering the way the government and media would have you believe, the dollar would move up and the price of gold would plunge. The chart below clearly shows that the opposite is happening:

(Chart and analysis courtesy of Weiss Research)

And this chart also shows the inverse correlation between gold and the dollar. When one moves up, the other heads down. Right now, gold is clearly on the winning side.

What’s more, Nick Barisheff of Bullion Management Services recently reported that “gold will continue to increase in price as long as its mine supply is lower than the increase in the money supply.” Right now, “mine supply increases by about 1.5% annually.”

The government’s response to the financial crisis has more than doubled the money supply:

The U.S. government has printed so much money that the monetary base has swelled from $800 billion to $1.7 trillion. This is the largest expansion in history and a staggering devaluation of the dollar. It means that the US government has created 2.1.dollars for every 1 dollar there was in America just one year ago.


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Sure! Sure!

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The CBO (Congressional Budget Office) stated in a report: “In actuality, the economic effects of rapidly growing debt would probably be much more disorderly as investors’ confidence in the nation’s fiscal solvency began to erode. …..All in all, the U.S. economy could contract sharply for a long period.” (end quote). This is an 82 page document that is well worth your reading – unless you don’t give a damn! Hey! It’s your money Mr. and Mrs. John Q! If you don’t care, I can assure you your elected officials sure as hell don’t!

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The U.S. government has printed so much money that the monetary base has swelled from $800 billion to $1.7 trillion. That means the US government has created 2.1.dollars for every 1 dollar there was in America just one year ago.

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The Bank for International Settlements was a joint creation in 1930 of the world’s central banks, including the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Its existence was inspired by Hjalmar Horace Greeley Schacht, Nazi Minister of Economics and president of the Reichsbank.
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Yeah, I know! The $5 a pound banana!

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